Will AI take my software engineer job?

Technology · SOC 15-1252
41
/ 100
AI-Proof Score · tech

Software Engineer

Exposed
In 1 year
38
↓ 3 pts
In 3 years
34
↓ 7 pts
In 5 years
30
↓ 11 pts

Tasks at risk

  • Writing boilerplate code and standard CRUD endpoints
  • Generating unit tests from specifications
  • Initial code review for style and obvious bugs

AI-resistant skills to build

  • System design at scale and distributed-systems trade-offs
  • Production debugging when the model is wrong
  • Cross-team architectural decision-making

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What this score means for Software Engineer.

The Software Engineer role is in the exposed band. A meaningful share of what entry-level practitioners do today is being automated. The role itself isn't going away on a 5-year horizon, but the path into it is changing faster than most professional bodies acknowledge. Specialization and the durable human-judgment layer are where the next decade of compensation lives. Over the next 5 years the score is projected to drift down by 11 points based on the technology vertical's drift rate. Quarterly recomputes track the actual change.

Author note: Highest-intensity AI-augmentation role in the Anthropic Index. The job is shifting from writing code to reviewing, integrating, and architecting it.

The four signals.

Eloundou α
30%
Tasks an LLM can do directly.
Eloundou β
85%
Tasks reachable via LLM-powered software.
Index intensity
78/100
How heavily real users deploy AI on this work today.
Automation share
43%
Of that usage, the share that is replacement vs assistance.

All four are weighted into the composite. See the formula →

What to do this quarter.

The single highest-leverage move for someone in this role this quarter:

Cursor or comparable AI pair-programmer in your daily workflow.

The free 12-week email plan above expands this into a sequenced plan. The $19 personalized roadmap goes further: ranked tools, credential-value shifts, pivot scenarios, and quarter-by-quarter targets for the next 12 months.

Other roles in Technology.

Sources for this score.