Will AI take my carpenter job?

Trades · SOC 47-2031
97
/ 100
AI-Proof Score · trades

Carpenter

In 1 year
97
— stable
In 3 years
96
↓ 1 pts
In 5 years
95
↓ 2 pts

Tasks at risk

  • Drafting bids from blueprints
  • Material-takeoff calculations
  • Permit paperwork

AI-resistant skills to build

  • All physical carpentry skill
  • Field problem-solving and dimensional reasoning
  • Crew leadership and craftsmanship

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What this score means for Carpenter.

The Carpenter role scores in the most AI-resistant band. The work that defines it — the physical, procedural, and relational core — is not on the table for current generative AI. Routine paperwork is being eaten; the actual job is not. Over the next 5 years the score is projected to drift down by 2 points based on the trades vertical's drift rate. Quarterly recomputes track the actual change.

The four signals.

Eloundou α
1%
Tasks an LLM can do directly.
Eloundou β
5%
Tasks reachable via LLM-powered software.
Index intensity
5/100
How heavily real users deploy AI on this work today.
Automation share
3%
Of that usage, the share that is replacement vs assistance.

All four are weighted into the composite. See the formula →

What to do this quarter.

The single highest-leverage move for someone in this role this quarter:

AI for paperwork only — bids, permits, customer comms — never the trade itself.

The free 12-week email plan above expands this into a sequenced plan. The $19 personalized roadmap goes further: ranked tools, credential-value shifts, pivot scenarios, and quarter-by-quarter targets for the next 12 months.

Other roles in Trades.

Sources for this score.